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Early NFL lines can be misleading—take that -3 point opener shifting to -4.5 by...

https://varimail.com/articles/how-do-i-stop-treating-every-new-stat-like-gospel-in-september/

Early NFL lines can be misleading—take that -3 point opener shifting to -4.5 by kickoff, for example. Chasing early moves often means overpaying. Real value usually comes from waiting for the market to settle and getting a cleaner number

Submitted on 2026-09-19 22:06:30

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