Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but...

https://direct-wiki.win/index.php/Can_I_Find_Better_Value_in_F1_Props_When_Race_Winner_Odds_Are_Sharp%3F

Timing is everything in F1 betting. You might spot the right driver to win, but if the odds shift from +500 down to +190 before you place your bet, that winner pick turns into a weaker payout